Sunday, July 8, 2012

Gotta Go with the O.

      Since 1997, Overstock.com has positioned themselves as a cost-conscious online retailer based out of Cottonwood Heights, Utah, near Salt Lake City. The concept for Overstock.com is simple: acquire the surplus of other retailers and sell it to consumers at a lower cost. Because the entire business is based online, the web experience is paramount in everything Overstock does—including its successes and failures. While Overstock.com certainly uses a number of different approaches to the sales process, behavioral targeting via web analytics has become a central focus of Overstock’s approach. Three key areas have been optimized through web analytics that help Overstock remain engaged on the consumer level: design, predictive analysis and key performance indicator measurement. These three tools help the company consistently look to improve their performance on the consumer and financial level.
Design
For a company that is almost completely dependent on conversions on its website to generate revenue, the design and functionality of the site is paramount. From the layout, to the checkout, every step must be user-friendly and seamless. The industry-standard measurement of e-commerce checkout rates is studied by basically every company and classified as an abandonment rate. Overstock clearly studies that rate (which will be addressed later as a key performance indicator, or KPI) looks to constantly make performance-related adjustments. “Overstock’s site design staff discovered shoppers were adding to carts only X% (the company declines to reveal the number) of every 100 times the shoppers viewed product pages. ‘We thought it should be X plus 3%,’ [CEO Patrick] Byrne says. Using analytics data, Overstock realized that product pages forced shoppers to scroll down to the bottom half of pages to get the information they needed to make a purchase decision-a design that caused many shoppers to move on without carting products” (Demery, 2007). Using web analysis in this case helped Overstock realize that they had a simple design flaw in their process. By seeing that they had a significant problem in the consumer funnel towards a successful sale, Overstock was able to address the issue of the layout and design of the page in order to more actively cater to their consumers. One of the most basic tenets of the aforementioned consumer funnel is the ability to see where consumer conversions hit a snag and cause consumers to leave. In this instance, it appears that Overstock has done a good job in isolating that funnel snag and adjusting.
Predictive analysis
The concept of predictive analysis is certainly not singularly a web analytics tool. Many companies use the concept of predicting where or what a consumer would want and then try to cater to that need. What makes Overstock different is their use of predictive analysis based on attributes that the consumer provides. In this case, Overstock is able to use their prior sales records and commerce results to create a more accurate suggestion of potential product choices for their customer. By using a “Bayesian attribute-based technology”—which basically means predictive analysis, the company is able to employ mathematics to help consumers find more aptly-suited products to their needs in Overstock’s GiftFinder application. “The application asks consumers to specify the occasion, the age of the gift recipient, the relationship to the recipient, and the interests of the recipient, and then recommends specific products. Overstock’s CEO notes that the GiftFinder drives 2.5 times the average purchase revenue for the site compared to when customers don’t use it” (Demery, 2007). Again, here is another example of the Overstock group’s ability to employ a metric like prior sales and synergize it with web analytics to help improve their sales results.
Key Performance Indicators
The ability to study results and target customers for future sales is a great use of on-hand resources to try to generate more sales. By studying this data and others, Overstock is constantly monitoring their own key performance indicators and efficiencies. From the growth of revenue as a result of the GiftFinder application to even using event-driven email marketing to customize offerings, Overstock is able to constantly monitor their own data to try and drive larger order sizes and more consistent conversion rates. All of this falls under the concept of trying to reduce abandonment and create sales. Furthermore, it also underscores the dedication to true synthesizing of analytics data for sales purposes by Overstock.
Suggestions
While it is clear Overstock uses behavioral analysis to create recommendations for consumers, it is unclear if they use it for targeting new consumers. By potentially employing this same level of analysis to referring websites and upstream and downstream visitors, Overstock might be able to see exactly who is bringing in the most traffic to their site. In the previously addressed concept of abandonment, Overstock would be able to not only see where the consumer left the conversion funnel, but also where they went to complete the sale and why. If, for example, via downstream analytics the Overstock group was able to deduce that consumers were leaving the checkout process at the shipping subtotal page and going to Walmart’s site, one might imagine that Walmart might be offering a better shipping alternative. While more analytics would need to be run to confirm this, perhaps testing a free shipping (or at least reduced-cost) alternative might be beneficial. Additionally this would also help them in studying which visitors are converting with a higher propensity and where visitors are going after abandoning Overstock’s site. All of this analysis might certainly be already occurring within Overstock’s operation, but the data is clearly there and must be synthesized correctly to accomplish the goals of the company.
Overstock is clearly not the first company to employ these techniques—nor the last. The key is clearly in using the data available to the marketing team and trying to figure out the best way to make that data work for you. Furthermore, testing each model against a baseline of data is paramount in understanding if there is something positive happening for the company. Behavioral modeling and predictive analytics are certainly great forays into that equation.












References
Davenport, T. (2009). Realizing the Potential of Retail Analytics; Plenty of Food for Those with the Appetite. Babson Executive Education White Paper. Retrieved from http://analytics.typepad.com/files/retailanalytics.pdf

Demery, P. (2007, February 22) How analytics supports site design at Overstock.com. Internet Retailer. Retrieved from http://www.internetretailer.com/2007/02/22/how-analytics-supports-site-design-at-overstock-com




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